COMMENT | Who will win the 15th general election (GE15)? Who will become Malaysia’s next prime minister? The answers to these questions are arguably the most difficult to answer in Malaysia’s history.

Part 1 set the context for the analysis and here in Part 2, my early projections are laid out. Part 3 will discuss the hottest frontline areas in greater detail for the coming polls.

This piece lays out where I see the current situation a few days from polling, drawing from fieldwork across all of Malaysia’s states and from statistical projections of voting based on ongoing trends in the GE15 campaign, notably Perikatan Nasional’s (PN) gains among Malay and younger voters and internal divisions in coalitions resulting in discontent on the ground in some seats.